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Risk

Risk-reward ratio (R:R)

Also known as: RR, risk/reward, R-multiple

The ratio of potential profit to potential loss on a single trade — typically expressed as 1:N where N is the multiple of risk you're targeting.

Risk-reward is the relationship between your stop distance and your target distance. A 4-point stop with an 8-point target is a 1:2 R:R. A 4-point stop with a 12-point target is a 1:3. Most disciplined strategies target at least 1:1.5 — the math doesn't work over time at less.

Why it matters: combined with win rate, R:R determines whether your strategy is mathematically profitable. A 40% win rate at 1:2 R:R is profitable (40% × 2 - 60% × 1 = +20% expectancy per trade). A 60% win rate at 1:0.5 R:R is not (60% × 0.5 - 40% × 1 = -10%). Most traders overestimate their win rate and underestimate the R:R they need.

Example

  • ES setup: entry 4500, stop 4498 (8 ticks = $100 risk), target 4506 (24 ticks = $300 reward). R:R = 1:3.

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